Locri 1909 0-3 Vibonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
46%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
24%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Locri 1909 The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vibonese The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
245 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Locri 1909
0-3
AWAY Vibonese
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Locri 1909 vs Vibonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vibonese cruised past Locri 1909 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Vibonese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Locri 1909 had 49% of the ball to Vibonese's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Locri 1909 vs Vibonese?

Locri 1909 0-3 Vibonese in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Locri 1909 vs Vibonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vibonese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Locri 1909 34%, draw 27%, Vibonese 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vibonese), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vibonese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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