Roma City 0-1 LAquila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
37%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
51%
-16.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma City The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY LAquila The Market 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+70% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma City
0-1
AWAY LAquila
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Roma City vs LAquila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LAquila nicked a narrow win over Roma City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; LAquila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roma City had 41% of the ball to LAquila's 59%, shots finished 2-11.

What was the final score of Roma City vs LAquila?

Roma City 0-1 LAquila in the Italy - Serie D on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma City vs LAquila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Roma City 34%, draw 32%, LAquila 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Roma City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma City) ✓ Under 2.5
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