Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterrey v Santos Laguna — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Santos Laguna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Santos Laguna
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
1-2
HT 1-1
Santos Laguna
MEK
Monterrey 4-2 Santos Laguna — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey beat Santos Laguna 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterrey had 61% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 39%, shots finished 30-9, expected goals 3.03 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monterrey and 0.33 for Santos Laguna.
What was the final score of Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
Monterrey 4-2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Santos Laguna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 64%, draw 21%, Santos Laguna 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.