Cerro Porteno 0-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 3 Mar 2025

📅03/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.66/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.11
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
01.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
02.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.12.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
18.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
0-1
AWAY Club Guarani
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani squeezed past Cerro Porteno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 58% of the ball to Club Guarani's 42%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.83 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Cerro Porteno 0-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 03/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 48%, draw 26%, Club Guarani 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →