Cerro Porteno 1-2 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
60%
-16.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.83/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.81
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.05.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
02.03.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
02.12.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
18.09.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
25.04.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 0-3 HT 0-2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-2
AWAY Club Guarani
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani edged past Cerro Porteno 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 63% of the ball to Club Guarani's 37%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cerro Porteno and 0.50 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Cerro Porteno 1-2 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 44%, draw 29%, Club Guarani 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
17 Nov 2024
00:00 Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano Analysis →
23:00 2 de Mayo vs Club Olimpia Analysis →
23:00 Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion Analysis →
23:00 General Caballero JLM vs Libertad Analysis →