Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
30%
-8.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.06/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.14
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 3-1 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.05.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
17.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-3 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.10.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
23.07.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
02.05.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
0-2
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano got the better of Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Luqueno at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 54% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.33 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Sportivo Luqueno 0-2 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 43%, draw 22%, Sportivo Ameliano 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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