Tacuary 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tacuary EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 50%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.09/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.15
+4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
216 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tacuary
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
01.06.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 2-5 HT 0-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
18.03.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
01.10.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 0-3 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
18.07.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
04.06.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-0 HT 1-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tacuary
1-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tacuary squeezed past Nacional Asuncion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tacuary had 39% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 61%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tacuary and 2.00 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion?

Tacuary 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tacuary vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tacuary 27%, draw 24%, Nacional Asuncion 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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