General Caballero JLM 3-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-4.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
0.89/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.13
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 1.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
02.06.2024 Libertad Libertad 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
17.03.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
24.10.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
05.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
28.05.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME General Caballero JLM
3-1
AWAY Libertad
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

General Caballero JLM saw off Libertad 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; General Caballero JLM found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 54% of the ball to Libertad's 46%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Libertad?

General Caballero JLM 3-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a General Caballero JLM win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 35%, draw 32%, Libertad 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (General Caballero JLM) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (General Caballero JLM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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