NEC Nijmegen 3-2 PSV Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
19%
4.09
Away
60%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.84
Over Pick
74%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.39
No
33%
2.76
Total Goals
0-1
11%
7.01
2-3
37%
2.19
4-5
35%
2.36
6+
17%
4.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.02
1/2
4%
17.5
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
8%
9.58
X/2
18%
4.8
X/X
9%
7.19
2/1
1%
31.0
2/2
38%
2.09
2/X
5%
13.05
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME NEC Nijmegen The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven The Market 59%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.20
2.16 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38
30 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.09 xG 3.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 8
251 Passes 453
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-5 HT 1-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
01.02.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-3 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
14.09.2024 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 2-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
30.03.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-1 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
16.09.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
01.04.2023 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 2-4 HT 0-3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3 - 2
AWAY PSV Eindhoven
2.54 xG 1.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
223 Passes 272
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

NEC Nijmegen edged past PSV Eindhoven 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

File this under upsets: a 60% lean on PSV Eindhoven went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

The match data tells the story: NEC Nijmegen had 46% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 54%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.54 to 1.51.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 3.17 for PSV Eindhoven.

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score

NEC Nijmegen 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 21%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 60%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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