NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction — Model Probabilities
NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
NEC Nijmegen 3-2 PSV Eindhoven — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen edged past PSV Eindhoven 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
File this under upsets: a 60% lean on PSV Eindhoven went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (67%) came in.
The match data tells the story: NEC Nijmegen had 46% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven's 54%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.54 to 1.51.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 3.17 for PSV Eindhoven.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Result & Final Score
NEC Nijmegen 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 21%, draw 19%, PSV Eindhoven 60%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.