Kitara 2-0 Gaddafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.33
No
54%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
61%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +25%
2.33/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.16
+50% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +35%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 171 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gaddafi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.12.2025 Gaddafi Gaddafi 1-0 HT 1-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
2-0
AWAY Gaddafi
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Gaddafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara beat Gaddafi 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Kitara had 37% of the ball to Gaddafi's 63%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Gaddafi?

Kitara 2-0 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Gaddafi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kitara 54%, draw 29%, Gaddafi 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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