NEC vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v UPDF — Team-Based Signals
NEC vs UPDF Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
NEC nicked a narrow win over UPDF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, NEC had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for NEC and 0.50 for UPDF.
What was the final score of NEC vs UPDF?
NEC 1-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs UPDF?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split NEC 59%, draw 23%, UPDF 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.