Vipers 3-0 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.25
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
76%
+1.5pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.9pp
6%
Away Win
7%
-0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vipers EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
2.10/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/1.45
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +40%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vipers
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
17.12.2025 Lugazi Municipal 1-2 HT 0-1 Vipers Vipers UGA
03.04.2025 Vipers Vipers 1-0 HT 0-0 Lugazi Municipal UGA
26.09.2024 Lugazi Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Vipers Vipers UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vipers
3-0
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vipers vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vipers cruised past Lugazi Municipal 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vipers as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vipers had 65% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 35%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vipers had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vipers and 0.33 for Lugazi Municipal.

What was the final score of Vipers vs Lugazi Municipal?

Vipers 3-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vipers vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vipers win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Vipers 78%, draw 16%, Lugazi Municipal 6%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vipers), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vipers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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