Uganda Police 0-2 BUL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY BUL EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.89/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.08
+33% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
1W-2D-1L
AWAY BUL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2025 BUL BUL 1-3 HT 1-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
16.04.2025 BUL BUL 0-0 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
16.09.2024 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
22.10.2021 BUL BUL 2-1 HT 1-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
0-2
AWAY BUL
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs BUL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL got the better of Uganda Police 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uganda Police at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Uganda Police had 52% of the ball to BUL's 48%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uganda Police and 0.75 for BUL.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs BUL?

Uganda Police 0-2 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs BUL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 44%, draw 28%, BUL 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uganda Police) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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