Cobresal 1-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.21
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
18%
5.99
X/2
12%
5.18
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
12%
32.0
2/2
18%
3.43
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobresal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +105%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 6.5
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobresal
1-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.52 xG 2.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cobresal vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal and Barcelona SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cobresal had 51% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 49%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.52 to 2.19.

What was the final score of Cobresal vs Barcelona SC?

Cobresal 1-1 Barcelona SC in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobresal vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobresal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cobresal 39%, draw 26%, Barcelona SC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cobresal), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cobresal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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