Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.94
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
10%
7.23
X/2
14%
4.25
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.82
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-1
AWAY Flamengo
1.69 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios and Flamengo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Millonarios had 46% of the ball to Flamengo's 54%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.69 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Flamengo?

Millonarios 1-1 Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 31%, draw 28%, Flamengo 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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