Deportivo Tachira 0-2 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.59
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.34
6+ Goals
14%
12.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
9.09
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
1/X
6%
17.45
X/1
9%
11.35
X/2
18%
3.68
X/X
15%
5.63
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
1.94
2/X
5%
16.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+10.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
47%
Away Win
61%
-14.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.1pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 66%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.57/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/0.74
+83% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
23.7 Crosses 20.5
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
0-2
AWAY River Plate
0.23 xG 1.45
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
167 Passes 374
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
3 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate beat Deportivo Tachira 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 36% of the ball to River Plate's 64%, shots finished 3-20, expected goals 0.23 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs River Plate?

Deportivo Tachira 0-2 River Plate in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 27%, draw 27%, River Plate 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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