Basel 2-1 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.4
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
16%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.66
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
13%
4.11
X/2
5%
14.95
X/X
11%
7.48
2/1
7%
20.0
2/2
8%
11.65
2/X
6%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
2.04/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.72
+0% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.6 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
387 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2024 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
03.08.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-3 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
18.05.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
17.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 2-1 Basel Basel İSV
09.12.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
06.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
2-1
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.42 xG 1.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
398 Passes 292
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Basel vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel edged past Grasshoppers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Basel had 55% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 45%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.42 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basel and 1.17 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Basel vs Grasshoppers?

Basel 2-1 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Basel 58%, draw 24%, Grasshoppers 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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