Basel 0-1 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
14%
3.99
X/2
9%
10.35
X/X
12%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.55
2/2
12%
7.86
2/X
6%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.91/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.74
-6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.5 Crosses 17.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
367 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-3 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
18.05.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
17.02.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 2-1 Basel Basel İSV
09.12.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
06.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
29.05.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
0-1
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.36 xG 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
500 Passes 170
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers squeezed past Basel 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Basel had 69% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 31%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.67 — on chances, Basel could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Basel and 1.17 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Basel vs Grasshoppers?

Basel 0-1 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Basel 47%, draw 27%, Grasshoppers 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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