LA Galaxy II 0-3 El Paso Locomotive — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 3 Apr 2025

LA Galaxy II
0-3 HT 0-2
El Paso Locomotive
📅03/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Open Cup – 2025

LA Galaxy II vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.7pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LA Galaxy II v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LA Galaxy II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

LA Galaxy II vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LA Galaxy II
2W-0D-3L
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.88 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
331 Passes 481
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.09.2022 LA Galaxy II 2-3 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
08.05.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 4-0 HT 3-0 LA Galaxy II USLP
18.10.2021 LA Galaxy II 5-0 HT 3-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
20.10.2019 LA Galaxy II 2-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
09.06.2019 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 3-0 HT 1-0 LA Galaxy II USLP

LA Galaxy II 0-3 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LA Galaxy II
0-3
AWAY El Paso Locomotive
0.39 xG 2.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 438
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LA Galaxy II vs El Paso Locomotive
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive ran out comfortable winners over LA Galaxy II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; El Paso Locomotive found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, LA Galaxy II had 46% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 54%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.39 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for LA Galaxy II and 2.00 for El Paso Locomotive.

What was the final score of LA Galaxy II vs El Paso Locomotive?

LA Galaxy II 0-3 El Paso Locomotive in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LA Galaxy II vs El Paso Locomotive?

Before kick-off our model rated a LA Galaxy II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split LA Galaxy II 39%, draw 23%, El Paso Locomotive 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LA Galaxy II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LA Galaxy II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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