Tacoma Defiance vs Spokane Velocity Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tacoma Defiance v Spokane Velocity — Team-Based Signals
Tacoma Defiance 2-1 Spokane Velocity — Actual Match Statistics
Tacoma Defiance nicked a narrow win over Spokane Velocity 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tacoma Defiance as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Tacoma Defiance had 46% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 54%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.27 to 1.54.
What was the final score of Tacoma Defiance vs Spokane Velocity?
Tacoma Defiance 2-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - Open Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tacoma Defiance vs Spokane Velocity?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tacoma Defiance win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tacoma Defiance 41%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tacoma Defiance), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.