Atletico Nacional 3-0 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2025

Atletico Nacional
3-0 HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
📅03/04/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2026

Atletico Nacional vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
11%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.13
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.3
X/1
18%
4.08
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
9%
5.06
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
11%
8.71
2/X
7%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Nacional v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.72/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.64
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
21.6 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Atletico Nacional vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.51 xG 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
363 Passes 169
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.02.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 HT 0-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
22.02.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional LKU
13.05.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
29.04.2021 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-4 HT 2-2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional LKU
19.03.2014 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional LKU
12.03.2014 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-2 HT 0-2 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football LKU
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional cruised past Nacional de Football 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.67 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Nacional de Football?

Atletico Nacional 3-0 Nacional de Football in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 49%, draw 25%, Nacional de Football 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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