Universitario 0-1 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.53
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.66
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1
5%
8.78
X/2
14%
4.25
X/X
20%
4.06
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.52
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-6.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 55%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.37/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.19
-30% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -36%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
24.6 Crosses 18.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
0-1
AWAY River Plate
0.36 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
254 Passes 430
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
8 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universitario vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate nicked a narrow win over Universitario 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Universitario had 42% of the ball to River Plate's 58%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.36 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Universitario vs River Plate?

Universitario 0-1 River Plate in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Universitario 24%, draw 32%, River Plate 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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