Universidad Chile 1-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.23
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.94
X/2
17%
5.45
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.7
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.38/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.23
-45% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.2 Crosses 8.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universidad Chile
1-0
AWAY Botafogo
0.96 xG 0.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
269 Passes 451
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Universidad Chile vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile squeezed past Botafogo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Universidad Chile made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Universidad Chile had 39% of the ball to Botafogo's 61%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.96 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Universidad Chile vs Botafogo?

Universidad Chile 1-0 Botafogo in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Chile vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Universidad Chile 32%, draw 29%, Botafogo 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5
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