Talleres Cordoba 0-1 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.66
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.56
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.91
X/2
13%
6.35
X/X
13%
3.46
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
13%
5.29
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -25%
0.84/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.94
+2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
15.6 Crosses 15.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.59 xG 1.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
273 Passes 341
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.05.2024 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
05.04.2024 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
14.02.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
07.02.2019 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Sao Paulo
0.72 xG 0.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 364
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo nicked a narrow win over Talleres Cordoba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Talleres Cordoba at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 49% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 51%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 0.72 to 0.19 — the balance of chances actually favoured Talleres Cordoba.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Talleres Cordoba had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 0.75 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo?

Talleres Cordoba 0-1 Sao Paulo in the Copa Libertadores on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 41%, draw 27%, Sao Paulo 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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