Talleres Cordoba 2-1 Sao Paulo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 5 Apr 2024

Talleres Cordoba
2-1 HT 1-0
Sao Paulo
📅05/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2024

Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.84
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
14%
3.78
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.59
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Talleres Cordoba v Sao Paulo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 33%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -27%
0.50/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.89
-66% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -38%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
31.4 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.41 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
266 Passes 273
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.02.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
07.02.2019 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU

Talleres Cordoba 2-1 Sao Paulo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
2-1
AWAY Sao Paulo
1.08 xG 1.04
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
247 Passes 441
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 21
4 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba squeezed past Sao Paulo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Talleres Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 37% of the ball to Sao Paulo's 63%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.08 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Talleres Cordoba had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 0.00 for Sao Paulo.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo?

Talleres Cordoba 2-1 Sao Paulo in the Copa Libertadores on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs Sao Paulo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 41%, draw 29%, Sao Paulo 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LKU More Copa Libertadores
5 Apr 2024
01:00 Rosario Central vs CA Penarol Analysis →
01:00 Caracas FC vs Atletico Mineiro Analysis →
03:00 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Independiente Del Valle Analysis →
03:00 Palestino vs Bolivar Analysis →