Rosario Central vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rosario Central v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals
Rosario Central 1-0 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics
Rosario Central squeezed past CA Penarol 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rosario Central as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Rosario Central had 42% of the ball to CA Penarol's 58%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.50 to 1.22 — on chances, CA Penarol could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Rosario Central vs CA Penarol?
Rosario Central 1-0 CA Penarol in the Copa Libertadores on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs CA Penarol?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 49%, draw 30%, CA Penarol 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.