Caracas FC vs Atletico Mineiro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caracas FC v Atletico Mineiro — Team-Based Signals
Caracas FC 1-4 Atletico Mineiro — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Mineiro cruised past Caracas FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Mineiro as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Caracas FC had 27% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 73%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.19 to 2.01.
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Atletico Mineiro?
Caracas FC 1-4 Atletico Mineiro in the Copa Libertadores on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Atletico Mineiro?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 25%, draw 25%, Atletico Mineiro 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.