Sao Paulo 2-0 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 36% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.95
X/1
20%
3.58
X/2
10%
10.65
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
11%
26.5
2/2
9%
9.26
2/X
10%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.63/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.25
-45% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
20.3 Crosses 20.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 0.63
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
329 Passes 260
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2024 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
14.02.2019 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
07.02.2019 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-0
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
1.82 xG 0.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
377 Passes 311
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo beat Talleres Cordoba 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 55% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 45%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.82 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talleres Cordoba led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.33 for Talleres Cordoba.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba?

Sao Paulo 2-0 Talleres Cordoba in the Copa Libertadores on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 48%, draw 27%, Talleres Cordoba 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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