Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo Colo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.1
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
11%
4.35
X/2
13%
6.6
X/X
14%
3.81
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
5.51
2/X
8%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Colo Colo EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.15/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
-24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +86%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
16.3 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Colo Colo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.54 xG 0.34
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
155 Passes 401
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 11
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2024 Colo Colo Colo Colo 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
21.04.2011 Colo Colo Colo Colo 2-3 HT 2-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno LKU
18.02.2011 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 5-2 HT 2-1 Colo Colo Colo Colo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
1-1
AWAY Colo Colo
1.14 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
239 Passes 323
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs Colo Colo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno and Colo Colo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 46% of the ball to Colo Colo's 54%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.14 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.67 for Colo Colo.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs Colo Colo?

Cerro Porteno 1-1 Colo Colo in the Copa Libertadores on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs Colo Colo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 36%, draw 29%, Colo Colo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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