Barcelona SC 2-1 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.62
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.5
X/1
22%
3.51
X/2
8%
17.0
X/X
11%
6.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
7%
14.1
2/X
6%
20.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.27/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/2.07
-2% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -96% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
24.6 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cobresal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.19 xG 1.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
271 Passes 265
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
03.04.2024 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
2-1
AWAY Cobresal
1.25 xG 0.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
510 Passes 280
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC squeezed past Cobresal 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 61% of the ball to Cobresal's 39%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Cobresal?

Barcelona SC 2-1 Cobresal in the Copa Libertadores on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 57%, draw 23%, Cobresal 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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