Estudiantes 3-4 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
8%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
24.85
X/1
25%
3.18
X/2
7%
19.9
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
5%
18.55
2/X
5%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.5pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.89/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/3.09
-15% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +0%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
32.8 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Huachipato
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
388 Passes 404
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
3-4
AWAY Huachipato
1.83 xG 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
374 Passes 229
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato edged past Estudiantes 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Estudiantes at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estudiantes had 60% of the ball to Huachipato's 40%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.83 to 1.17 — the balance of chances actually favoured Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Huachipato?

Estudiantes 3-4 Huachipato in the Copa Libertadores on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 60%, draw 24%, Huachipato 16%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LKU More Copa Libertadores
30 May 2024
01:00 Gremio vs The Strongest Analysis →
03:30 Cerro Porteno vs Colo Colo Analysis →
03:30 Sao Paulo vs Talleres Cordoba Analysis →
03:30 Fluminense vs Alianza Lima Analysis →
03:30 Barcelona SC vs Cobresal Analysis →