Huachipato 1-1 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 4 Apr 2024

📅04/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.1
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
18%
6.38
X/2
14%
4.56
X/X
10%
3.9
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.18
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huachipato EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.52
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +72%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 3.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huachipato
1-1
AWAY Estudiantes
0.47 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
404 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Huachipato vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huachipato and Estudiantes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Huachipato had 52% of the ball to Estudiantes's 48%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.47 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Huachipato vs Estudiantes?

Huachipato 1-1 Estudiantes in the Copa Libertadores on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huachipato vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huachipato win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Huachipato 36%, draw 28%, Estudiantes 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Huachipato), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Huachipato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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