Alianza Lima vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima 1-1 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima and Fluminense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 21% of the ball to Fluminense's 79%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.08 to 0.45.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Fluminense?
Alianza Lima 1-1 Fluminense in the Copa Libertadores on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 31%, draw 26%, Fluminense 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fluminense), BTTS No went the other way.