San Lorenzo vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Lorenzo v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
San Lorenzo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
San Lorenzo
LKU
1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
LKU
San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
San Lorenzo and Palmeiras shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, San Lorenzo had 45% of the ball to Palmeiras's 55%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Lorenzo and 0.50 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Palmeiras?
San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras in the Copa Libertadores on 04/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 36%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.