Gremio 4-0 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 30 May 2024

Gremio
4-0 HT 1-0
The Strongest
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2024

Gremio vs The Strongest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 22% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.45
X/1
24%
3.4
X/2
4%
17.5
X/X
6%
6.85
2/1
12%
23.6
2/2
6%
14.45
2/X
6%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
71%
-2.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gremio v The Strongest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 14%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.93/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/2.11
-12% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.1
18.7 Crosses 9.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gremio vs The Strongest Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY The Strongest
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.48 xG 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 Passes 378
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.04.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 2-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio LKU

Gremio 4-0 The Strongest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
4-0
AWAY The Strongest
1.22 xG 0.56
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
309 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gremio vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio ran out comfortable winners over The Strongest 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Gremio had 46% of the ball to The Strongest's 54%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.22 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Gremio vs The Strongest?

Gremio 4-0 The Strongest in the Copa Libertadores on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Gremio 68%, draw 18%, The Strongest 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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