Fluminense vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Fluminense 3-2 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense nicked a narrow win over Alianza Lima 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Fluminense had 70% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 30%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.70 to 1.33.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Alianza Lima?
Fluminense 3-2 Alianza Lima in the Copa Libertadores on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 55%, draw 22%, Alianza Lima 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.