Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
7.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1.73
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
4%
16.25
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2
6%
13.05
X/X
7%
6.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.85
2/2
5%
10.15
2/X
4%
18.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.85 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
66%
+5.3pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.1pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.31/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.84
+0% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
37.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
29.1 Crosses 17.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.56 xG 0.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
409 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2026 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
26.10.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
16.08.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
23.07.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
17.05.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
5-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.76 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
329 Passes 287
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao ran out comfortable winners over Qingdao Jonoon 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 52% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.76 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.67 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Chengdu Qianbao 5-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 71%, draw 16%, Qingdao Jonoon 13%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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