Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.3
Draw
12%
4.95
Away
8%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.43
Over 2.5
66%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.49
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
3%
20.35
X/1 EV+ ✓
37%
3.8
X/2
3%
18.0
X/X
6%
8.01
2/1
10%
20.8
2/2
2%
15.05
2/X
4%
23.5
Value flag · X/1 at 3.8 — our 37% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
72%
+7.6pp
12%
Draw
17%
-4.6pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-3.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
2.56/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.29
-6% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
26.8 Crosses 13.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.33 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
378 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
16.08.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
23.07.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-2 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
17.05.2025 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
12.04.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
27.10.2024 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
2.47 xG 0.49
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
401 Passes 218
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Qingdao Jonoon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chengdu Qianbao as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 60% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 40%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.47 to 0.49 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chengdu Qianbao's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 0.83 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 80%, draw 12%, Qingdao Jonoon 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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