Shanghai Port 4-1 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
11%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.56
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
3%
18.65
X/1
13%
3.87
X/2
3%
15.8
X/X
11%
7.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.05
2/2
5%
12.8
2/X
5%
21.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
70%
-0.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
10%
Away Win
12%
-1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
2.92/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.29
+26% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
24.4 Crosses 13.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
3.09 xG 1.65
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
429 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-4 HT 2-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
26.07.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-2 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
09.05.2025 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-1 HT 1-1 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
28.03.2025 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 3-3 HT 3-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
28.09.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
21.07.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
4-1
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.11 xG 1.46
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 7
437 Passes 182
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port cruised past Qingdao Jonoon 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 68% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 32%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 3.11 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.67 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shanghai Port 4-1 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 70%, draw 19%, Qingdao Jonoon 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
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