First Vienna 1-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.86
Over Pick
56%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.09
2-3
38%
1.72
4-5
28%
3.39
6+
9%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.57
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
22%
4.51
X/2
9%
7.75
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
5%
23.95
2/2
9%
5.93
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · X/1 at 4.51 — our 22% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME First Vienna The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.60 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.25
0.56 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.0 Crosses 14.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.09.2025 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-3 HT 0-2 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
04.05.2025 First Vienna First Vienna 0-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
03.11.2024 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 1-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
17.05.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 4-2 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
04.11.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 0-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
21.04.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 3-0 HT 0-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
1-2
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Kapfenberger SV edged past First Vienna 2-1 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2.

Our model won't enjoy this one — First Vienna at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, First Vienna had 70% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 30%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, First Vienna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for First Vienna and 1.33 for Kapfenberger SV.

First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV Result & Final Score

First Vienna 1-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

First Vienna vs Kapfenberger SV Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 55%, draw 23%, Kapfenberger SV 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (First Vienna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (First Vienna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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