Sturm Graz II 0-1 St. Pölten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.0
Over Pick
56%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.51
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
25%
3.09
6+
10%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.05
1/2
8%
22.25
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
6%
8.13
X/2
15%
4.49
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.43
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Sturm Graz II The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten The Market 55%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
0.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.58
1.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.35
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
172 · 60% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
1W-0D-5L
AWAY St. Pölten
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
03.05.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-4 HT 1-3 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
01.11.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 0-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
01.12.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 3-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
30.07.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-4 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
26.02.2023 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
REVIEW Sturm Graz II vs St. Pölten
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

St. Pölten nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz II 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sturm Graz II against 2.83 for St. Pölten.

Sturm Graz II vs St. Pölten Result & Final Score

Sturm Graz II 0-1 St. Pölten in the Austria - 1st Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sturm Graz II vs St. Pölten Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 27%, draw 22%, St. Pölten 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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