APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 Western Sydney W. II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.4pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.6pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney W. II EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.86/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/2.07
+2% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.7 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Western Sydney W. II
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.35 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 372
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-1 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
22.03.2025 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 6-1 HT 4-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
03.08.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-3 HT 3-2 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
28.04.2024 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 0-6 HT 0-2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
08.07.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 1-1 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II AVNPL
25.03.2023 Western Sydney W. II Western Sydney W. II 2-2 HT 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers swept aside Western Sydney W. II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.17 for Western Sydney W. II.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 4-1 Western Sydney W. II in the Australia - National Premier League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Western Sydney W. II?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 67%, draw 20%, Western Sydney W. II 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
3 Apr 2026
11:00 Manly United vs Sydney II Analysis →