Muharraq 3-0 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 26% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.2pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.39/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.77
+28% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sitra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.01.2026 Sitra Sitra 0-4 HT 0-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
01.05.2025 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
07.12.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
19.05.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
07.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 2-3 HT 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.02.2023 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-0
AWAY Sitra
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq cruised past Sitra 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Muharraq had 50% of the ball to Sitra's 50%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Muharraq and 0.67 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Sitra?

Muharraq 3-0 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 65%, draw 21%, Sitra 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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