The New Saints 2-1 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.29
Over
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.29
2-3
43%
1.84
4-5
29%
2.74
6+
10%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME The New Saints The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay The Market 20%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.36 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.74
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Bad Defense Strength Great
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Connahs Quay
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2026 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
31.12.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-1 HT 2-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
10.09.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-3 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALLK
22.08.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
04.05.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-2 HT 1-1 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
31.12.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
REVIEW The New Saints vs Connahs Quay
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

The New Saints came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Connahs Quay 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) landed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for The New Saints against 1.17 for Connahs Quay.

The New Saints vs Connahs Quay Result & Final Score

The New Saints 2 - 1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

The New Saints vs Connahs Quay Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 65%, draw 19%, Connahs Quay 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAL More Wales - Premier League
3 Apr 2026
16:30 Penybont vs Barry Town Analysis →
16:30 Colwyn Bay vs Caernarfon Town Analysis →
16:30 Flint Town United vs Haverfordwest County Analysis →
16:30 Briton Ferry vs Cardiff MU Analysis →
16:30 Llanelli Town vs Bala Town Analysis →