Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-2
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
Once Caldas 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Once Caldas had 54% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 46%, shots finished 13-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Once Caldas and 2.33 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
Once Caldas 1-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 39%, draw 24%, Independiente Medellin 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Once Caldas) went the other way.