Botosani 3-2 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.64
Away Pick
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.53
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
24%
3.07
6+
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.53 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FCSB win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
54%
Away Win
54%
+0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB The Market 58%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.69/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.03
-5% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
14.4 Crosses 19.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FCSB
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 2.04
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
178 Passes 381
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
19.09.2025 Botosani Botosani 3-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
08.12.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
21.11.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
25.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
07.10.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
3-2
AWAY FCSB
2.49 xG 0.97
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
425 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botosani vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botosani squeezed past FCSB 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FCSB at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Botosani had 58% of the ball to FCSB's 42%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.49 to 0.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Botosani's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botosani and 1.50 for FCSB.

What was the final score of Botosani vs FCSB?

Botosani 3-2 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Botosani 23%, draw 22%, FCSB 54%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FCSB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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