FCSB 2-1 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.01
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
19%
3.59
6+
11%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.01 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
17%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FCSB win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani The Market 21%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
2.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.44
+2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.7 Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Botosani
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.75 xG 1.57
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2025 Botosani Botosani 3-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
08.12.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
21.11.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
25.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 3-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
07.10.2023 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.12.2022 FCSB FCSB 1-0 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
2-1
AWAY Botosani
2.91 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 8
14 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
274 Passes 213
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
54 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FCSB vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB edged past Botosani 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FCSB had 56% of the ball to Botosani's 44%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.91 to 0.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FCSB's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FCSB and 1.17 for Botosani.

What was the final score of FCSB vs Botosani?

FCSB 2-1 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FCSB 53%, draw 24%, Botosani 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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