Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Otelul Galati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Feb 2026

📅05/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.68
Over
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.68
2-3
43%
1.74
4-5
20%
4.03
6+
9%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Universitatea Craiova win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Otelul Galati The Market 21%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.91/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.06
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.5 Crosses 19.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Otelul Galati
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.90 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
14.02.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
05.10.2024 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-1 HT 1-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
04.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROK
26.11.2023 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati 1-3 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
24.07.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-0 HT 0-0 Otelul Galati Otelul Galati ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-0
AWAY Otelul Galati
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova nicked a narrow win over Otelul Galati 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 51% of the ball to Otelul Galati's 49%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.83 for Otelul Galati.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati?

Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Otelul Galati in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Otelul Galati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 57%, draw 22%, Otelul Galati 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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