Iwaki 1-0 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iwaki EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.18/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.10
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Iwaki
0W-1D-1L
AWAY JEF United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 JEF United JEF United 1-0 HT 0-0 Iwaki Iwaki JAP2
18.06.2023 Iwaki Iwaki 0-0 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iwaki
1-0
AWAY JEF United
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iwaki vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki squeezed past JEF United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Iwaki found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Iwaki had 57% of the ball to JEF United's 43%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Iwaki and 0.50 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Iwaki vs JEF United?

Iwaki 1-0 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iwaki vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Iwaki 33%, draw 29%, JEF United 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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