Lincoln City 0-2 Wrexham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wrexham EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.88
+25% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +39%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.2 Crosses 21.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wrexham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.92 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 394
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Wrexham Wrexham 1-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
29.11.2016 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
04.10.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 1-2 HT 0-2 Lincoln City Lincoln City İBSL
23.01.2016 Wrexham Wrexham 3-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İBSL
05.09.2015 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 0-0 Wrexham Wrexham İBSL
21.03.2015 Wrexham Wrexham 1-1 HT 1-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
0-2
AWAY Wrexham
1.61 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
393 Passes 290
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Wrexham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham got the better of Lincoln City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Wrexham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lincoln City had 56% of the ball to Wrexham's 44%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lincoln City and 1.17 for Wrexham.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Wrexham?

Lincoln City 0-2 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Wrexham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 37%, draw 26%, Wrexham 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lincoln City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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